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Syria's Sham withdrawal from Lebanon
Don't get too giddy about the "historic" withdrawal of 14,000 Syrian
troops from Lebanon last week. It was a terrific sight, indeed, but
it was only the tip of the "Syrian influence" iceberg in Lebanon.

Syrian intelligence moles who have stayed back in Lebanon are now assisted by the elite Iranian units from the Basij militia
who are secretly taking positions in Lebanon by merging with the Hezbollah's armed militia. The most troubling element of
Syrian power in Lebanon is
its close relationship with the Lebanese Shiite terrorist group,
Hezbollah.
Hezbollah is Lebanon's wild card. It can peacefully support Syria at
the ballot box; and can lash out, wielding its terrorist's mace to
smash Lebanese stability by clobbering the Maronite Christians and also strike at Israel.
(Photo credits : The Star) _____________________________
The real source of Syrian power in Lebanon isn't the military. On the
contrary, it's Syrian intelligence. As the Syrian army marched
homeward, thousands of Syrian "spooks" - perhaps as many as 5,000 -
remained behind.
These intelligence moles are now assisted by the elite Iranian units from the Basij militia who are secretly taking
positions in Lebanon by merging with the Hezbollah's armed militia.
After 29 years of holding Lebanon by the throat, Syria isn't going to
loosen its iron grip without a struggle. Evicting Syria's "burrowed-
in" security apparatus - and influence - from Lebanon isn't going to
be easy.
Last September, the United Nations passed resolution 1559, calling
upon Syria to withdraw its "forces" from Lebanon. Following the
February assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik
Hariri, and massive anti-Syrian street demonstrations in Beirut,
Syria committed to pullout.
Last week Damascus informed the United Nations that it had done so. A
three-member U.N. team traveled to Lebanon to verify the Syrian
claim. Nonetheless, many remain skeptical.
State Department spokesman Adam Ereli said last week: "I think there
are some lingering concerns that not all Syrian intelligence assets
are out of Lebanon and it's important that they do leave Lebanon and
Lebanese territory fully and completely ... "
"Lingering concerns"?
Damascus has had almost three decades to penetrate every aspect of
Lebanon's government with a slew of Syrian spies. Every Lebanese
intelligence service is, in fact, pro-Syrian and cooperates closely
with Syrian intelligence.
Also, Syria handpicked senior high-ranking Lebanese intelligence
officials. No doubt that other key organizations - such as the
Lebanese foreign ministry, military and law enforcement - are awash
in Syrian agents as well.
Although Syria closed its infamous intelligence headquarters at
Beirut's Beau Rivage hotel, the office's shuttering was merely a
gratuitous gesture to the international community.
Syrian spooks have decamped from their high-visibility Beirut
headquarters for new locations south of Beirut - and elsewhere,
including safe houses around the country.
Syrian spies have also re-deployed to Palestinian refugee camps in
Lebanon and other "friendly areas" in the eastern Bekaa Valley along
the Syrian border.
Syria agents are also operating "legitimate" businesses such as cell-
phone networks. Some Syrian intelligence officers have married
Lebanese, making them particularly difficult to identify and uproot.
Syrian intelligence's political relationships with pro-Syrian
Lebanese politicos will continue to sway policy. The biggest problem -
for the moment - is Lebanon's new(est) Prime Minister, Najib Mikati,
a pal of Syrian President Bashar Assad.
But perhaps the most troubling element of Syrian power in Lebanon is
its close relationship with the Lebanese Shiite terrorist group,
Hezbollah.
Not only is the Iranian-backed, Syrian-supported terrorist group the
largest and most powerful militant group in Lebanon, it has political
clout, too.
It's extremely popular with Lebanon's large Shia community: It runs a
newspaper and a TV station, and provides a social safety net of
hospitals, clinics and schools.
Hezbollah currently holds 12 seats in the country's 128-member
parliament. It also orchestrated large counter-demonstrations during
the early days of the Cedar Revolution, calling attention to
Hezbollah's might and expressing pro-Syrian/anti-foreign sentiments.
The Bush administration has (wisely) avoided any head-on
confrontation with Hezbollah for the moment, calling instead upon it
to disarm (as stipulated in resolution 1559) and fully join the
political process.
Hezbollah is Lebanon's wild card. It can peacefully support Syria at
the ballot box; it can lash out, wielding its terrorist's mace to
smash Lebanese stability or clobber the Maronite Christians and also strike at Israel.
If Lebanon is going to truly - and fully - regain its sovereignty
from Syria, reducing Damascus' influence in Lebanon in advance of
this month's scheduled parliamentary elections is critical.
The U.S. (and like-minded France) should pressure Saudi Arabia and
Egypt (Syrian allies), and Russia (which just sold air defense
missiles to Damascus) to get Syria to yank its spies out of Lebanon,
and steer clear of the elections.
(Admittedly, in the short term this is likely to be of limited use,
but worth a try since the elections are so close - free and fair
elections would certainly be a good sign of progress on the Syrian-
spy front.)
Ideally, following successful elections, Beirut would replace all pro-
Syrian intelligence and military chiefs and purge the government of
Syrian spies and sympathizers.
In the long-term, if Damascus fails to recall its intel assets,
Washington (and Paris) should take the matter to the U.N. Security
Council for punitive sanctions.
Assad's regime is already on the skids with the "old guard"
for "losing" Lebanon, and with the young for its repression and
dismal economic performance (20 percent unemployment.)
Fresh international political pressure and economic sanctions might
just be what is needed to free Lebanon from the clutches of Syria's
spooks - and start the ball rolling for a peaceful, liberating "Black
and Red" revolution in Damascus.
Story Credits: Frontpagemag
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